It’s do or die time in League One. The play-offs are here as four clubs battle it out to be that side who earns promotion to the Championship. Okay, it’s not quite the £150m shootout that the Championship play-off Final is, but it means a lot. Can Fleetwood reach the second tier for the first time in their history or will Scunthorpe, Millwall or Bradford mark a return to the Championship following a number of years away?
Fleetwood have been the real surprise package in League One this season and came extremely close to achieving automatic promotion on the last day of the regular campaign, but ultimately a combination of their draw at home to Port Vale and Bolton Wanderers beating Peterborough United, put paid to that dream.
Bradford went the whole regular domestic campaign without losing at home – a record shared with Tottenham (at the moment), however, that unbeaten run is similar to Manchester United in not being as impressive as it sounds, as in those 23 games at Valley Parade, 12 of them ended in a draw – a League One record.
Fleetwood are better on the road than they are on home turf, in fact they had the third-best away record in the regular campaign and only conceded an average of a goal every away game, which is mightily impressive.
What We Sayin’?
Well earlier in the week we were banging on about how tight the Champions League semi-finals would be and look how that worked out. However, we can definitely tell you that this clash will be a close battle. Everything, however – in our eyes – points to a draw, which is why our tip is for Bradford’s Charlie Wyke to score first in a 1-1 result at 20/1.
A re-run of the League One play-off Final way back in 2009, Millwall have the home advantage for the first leg on Thursday evening at the Den, as Scunthorpe United head down to the capital.
The Lions lost that Final in 2009 and have only won one of their last four matches against the Iron – which came at home last month. Incidentally, there’s only been one draw in the last 17 meetings in all competitions between these two.
Scunny are flying coming into this one, with five straight wins ensuring a play-off finish, and in that sequence they effectively put nails in the coffins of three relegated sides – Chesterfield, Swindon and Coventry. Despite their lowly opponents, confidence will be high in the camp.
What We Sayin’?
Millwall snuck into the play-offs with a late winner against Bristol Rovers last time out, which would have boosted morale and at home, we just about fancy them to get the result they want – especially considering the firepower at Neil Harris’ disposal in the form of Lee Gregory, Steve Morison and Aiden O’Brien. We’re behind them to win 2-1 at 15/2.
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